20 de outubro de 2020 , por
Here’s how to handle it. It’s never been intended or promised to be a complete count; in prior elections it did not even near 84%. You might ask, were people in those areas any different from people in the average precinct in the first 84%? That margin is about 22%. Zero. As it turns out, the interruption in the quick count was not a sign of foul play either.
And that is why I would regard with great skepticism the allegations presented in their preliminary audit, and further publications — unless these can be verified by independent investigators from publicly available data. We encourage you to use our Patreon platform. The Organization of American States (OAS) sent an Electoral Observation Mission to Bolivia, entrusted with monitoring the Oct. 20 national election there. A look at that data shows that the change in Morales’s lead was actually gradual and continuous, and started rising many hours before the break in reporting of the quick count. The quick count is separate from the official count, and has no legal status to determine the results. Every day of the week, we publish the most important breaking news & views for the progressive community. Bitcoin, COVID’s Billionaire and Big Government Power-play, Florida Man Killed in Motorcycle Accident Recorded as ‘COVID Death’, Inconvenient Truth: ‘They’re Lockdown Deaths, Not Covid Deaths’, More Statistical Fraud: Florida, Texas, Colorado – All Caught Inflating COVID Cases and Deaths, UK Government Panicking As Fraudulent COVID Death Count is Revealed, US Physician: ‘CDC and US Government Are Inflating COVID-19 Death Count’, More Vaccines, More Masks, More Social Distancing, “Failed: What the ‘Experts’ Got Wrong About the Global Economy”, ICO Report Confirms What We Already Knew: Cambridge Analytica Brexit 'Meddling' Story Was Fake, Michigan Court Blocks Democrat Postal Vote Scheme, SUNDAY SCREENING: The Mennonites – Trip Back in Time (2020), Episode #345 – ‘Branch Covidians’ with guest Basil Valentine, UK Media Issues First Rebuke to Gov’t Over Destructive Lockdown Policies, Peak Corruption: Bidens’ Ukraine Influence Peddling Exposed, Covered-up by Silicon Valley, UKC News: UK Gov’t Corona Deception, Inside Hunter Biden Email Scandal, Election Meddling: Hunter Biden Email Scandal Censored by Silicon to Protect Joe Biden. Now, if you had any experience with elections or maybe even arithmetic, what is the first thing you would want to know about the votes that came in after the interruption? Three. Common DreamsP.O. “Failed: What the ‘Experts’ Got Wrong About the Global Economy”, Historian who has accurately called every election since 1984 says Biden will beat Trump in 2020 race, Mics to be cut off at Thursday’s presidential debate to allow 2-minute answers, The ‘darkest’ period of the coronavirus pandemic is still to come, warns top infectious-disease doctor, John Fogerty demands the president stop using his music: Donald Trump IS the ‘fortunate son’, Exxon, after Trump’s hypothetical bribery comment: ‘Just so we’re all clear, it never happened’, Alibaba takes 6.1% stake in travel retailer Dufry, Moderna CEO eyes December for COVID vaccine, 3 ways tech may help pro sports boost profitability amid the pandemic, She said Tesla could hit $15,000 a share, and then billions of dollars came pouring in to her fund. And the OAS isn’t all that independent at the moment, with the Trump administration actively promoting this military coup, and Washington having more right-wing allies in the OAS than they did just a few years ago. And the OAS isn’t all that independent at the moment, with the Trump administration actively promoting this military coup, and Washington having more right-wing allies in the OAS than they did just a few years ago. You might even want to ask these questions before expressing “deep concern and surprise” about what happened, especially in a politically very polarized situation that was already turning violent. Mark Alan Weisbrot is an American economist and columnist. Common Dreams brings you the news that matters. The OAS Lied to the Public About the Bolivian Election and Coup.
Did you even look at this question? Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. It’s just a quick series of snapshots, done by contractors, to provide early results before the official count is done. Here is an example that really pushes the boundary between the two, to the point where the distinction practically vanishes. And the consequences are quite serious; this misrepresentation (or lie) has already played a major role in a military coup in Bolivia last week. RELATED CONTENT: A Week After the Coup in Bolivia, There’s Still no Proof of Electoral Fraud. You might even want to ask these questions before expressing “deep concern and surprise” about what happened, especially in a politically very polarized situation that was already turning violent. It makes sense that the electoral authorities might not want two sets of voting results, which are inherently different, coming out at the same time in a violently polarized political situation. The day after the election, before all the votes were even counted, the mission put out a press release announcing its “deep concern and surprise at the drastic and hard-to-explain change in the trend of the preliminary results…” By continuing to use this site you agree to the use of cookies. Facts show nothing suspicious about the re-election of Evo Morales. Latest News on CITGO in the Face of the Disaster Left by Guaidó and Co. For those who like numbers better than graphs: Morales’s margin after the first 84% of votes was 7.9%, as noted. The OAS has published two press releases, one preliminary report, and one preliminary audit on the election. Hence the gradual and continuous rise in Morales’s lead, in which the votes after the interruption put him over the top. Here is what the OAS was referring to: there is an unofficial “quick count” of the voting results that involves contractors who upload results at intervals, as the tally sheets are available. Facts show nothing suspicious about the re-election of Evo Morales. You can see that in a graph of the results. This margin was important because in order to win without a second-round runoff, a candidate needs either an absolute majority, or at least 40% and a 10-point margin over the second-place finisher.
byMark Weisbrot What is the difference between an outright lie—stating something as a fact while knowing that it is false—and a deliberate material representation that accomplishes the same end? If we look at the remaining 16% of precincts, and we ask, what is Morales’s pre-interruption margin in the areas where these later-reporting precincts were located? The quick count is separate from the official count, and has no legal status to determine the results. The OAS has published two press releases, one preliminary report, and one preliminary audit on the election. Three. Since I am an economist, I believe in incentives: I am offering a $500 reward for the first journalist who can get a substantive answer to these questions from an OAS official, on the record. And was the change in Morales’s margin sudden, or was it a gradual trend that continued as more vote tally sheets were reported? What is the difference between an outright lie — stating something as a fact while knowing that it is false — and a deliberate material representation that accomplishes the same end? More evidence: in the last three weeks, the OAS has refused to answer questions from journalists, on the record, about their statements or reports since the election. And the OAS isn’t all that independent at the moment, with the Trump administration actively promoting this military coup, and Washington having more right-wing allies in the OAS than they did just a few years ago. More evidence: in the last three weeks, the OAS has refused to answer questions from journalists, on the record, about their statements or reports since the election. This margin was important because in order to win without a second-round runoff, a candidate needs either an absolute majority, or at least 40% and a 10-point margin over the second-place finisher. You might ask, were people in those areas any different from people in the average precinct in the first 84%? For a more powerful statistical analysis, we can project the remaining (and thus total) vote count on the basis of the first 84% reported. This military coup overthrew the government of President Evo Morales before his current term was finished—a term to which nobody disputes that he was democratically elected in 2014. of Encouraging COVID-19 "The OAS received the coup-born Interior Minister Arturo Murillo when he was visiting the U.S. to seek support … We are independent, non-profit, advertising-free and 100% reader supported. Why did it happen? Now, if you had any experience with elections or maybe even arithmetic, what is the first thing you would want to know about the votes that came in after the interruption? This military coup overthrew the government of President Evo Morales before his current term was finished — a term to which nobody disputes that he was democratically elected in 2014. Cookie Notice. The original content by Orinoco Tribune is licensed under CC BY 4.0. The answer is simple and not that uncommon: the people in later-reporting areas were more pro-MAS (Morales’s party, the Movement Toward Socialism) than those in areas that reported earlier.
We want the world to be a better place. How many of these contained the disparagement of the election results implied by the “deep concern and surprise” quoted above? It makes sense that the electoral authorities might not want two sets of voting results, which are inherently different, coming out at the same time in a violently polarized political situation. This margin was important because in order to win without a second-round runoff, a candidate needs either an absolute majority, or at least 40% and a 10-point margin over the second-place finisher. This military coup overthrew the government of President Evo Morales before his current term was finished — a term to which nobody disputes that he was democratically elected in 2014. And the consequences are quite serious; this misrepresentation (or lie) has already played a major role in a military coup in Bolivia last week. This margin — which grew to 10.6% when all the votes were counted in the official count — re-elected Morales without a second round. You’ve been successfully subscribed to our newsletter! What is the difference between an outright lie — stating something as a fact while knowing that it is false — and a deliberate material representation that accomplishes the same end? As it turns out, the interruption in the quick count was not a sign of foul play either. Maybe they are afraid that a curious reporter would ask questions like these: Is there a difference between the political preferences of people who live in later-reporting areas as compared to earlier ones? How many of these contained the disparagement of the election results implied by the “deep concern and surprise” quoted above? Not to mention that the U.S. supplies 60% of its budget. For a more powerful statistical analysis, we can project the remaining (and thus total) vote count on the basis of the first 84% reported. We are making such material available to our readers under the provisions of "fair use" in an effort to advance a better understanding of political, economic and social issues. You might ask, were people in those areas any different from people in the average precinct in the first 84%? Hence the gradual and continuous rise in Morales’s lead, in which the votes after the interruption put him over the top.
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